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Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
53%
Yes
No
No change
47%
Yes
No
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$108.8M vol
·
Sep 16
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
53%
Yes
No
Flávio Bolsonaro
47%
Yes
No
Renan Santos
2%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$146.1M vol
·
Oct 4
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
57%
Yes
No
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Yes
No
Naftali Bennett
7%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$36.9M vol
·
Dec 31
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Olivier Faure
0%
Yes
No
Xavier Bertrand
0%
Yes
No
Clémence Guetté
0%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$129.2M vol
·
Apr 30, 2027
Politics
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
September 30
73%
Yes
No
September 18
67%
Yes
No
September 11
60%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1.3M vol
·
Sep 30
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
20%
Yes 20¢
No 81¢
$11.0M vol
·
Dec 31
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
74%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
Party B
50%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$26.2M vol
·
Sep 20
Politics
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
160-179
44%
Yes
No
180-199
41%
Yes
No
200-219
9%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$1.2M vol
·
Sep 11
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Ted Cruz
2%
Yes
No
Josh Hawley
0%
Yes
No
Byron Donalds
0%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$701.3M vol
·
Nov 7, 2028
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
60%
Yes
No
October 31
34%
Yes
No
September 30
15%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$27.1M vol
·
Jan 1, 2027
Politics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 31
100%
Yes
No
August 31
100%
Yes
No
August 2
100%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$29.1M vol
·
Dec 31
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Hunter Biden
1%
Yes
No
Chelsea Clinton
0%
Yes
No
Bernie Sanders
0%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$1273.9M vol
·
Nov 7, 2028
Politics
Trump out as President by September 30?
1%
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
$534K vol
·
Oct 1
Politics
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
November 30
5%
Yes
No
October 31
3%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$17.4M vol
·
Jan 1, 2027
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?
September 30
96%
Yes
No
June 15
0%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$30.0M vol
·
Oct 1
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
79%
Yes
No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
19%
Yes
No
Renan Santos
2%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$6.7M vol
·
Oct 4
Politics
Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
180-199
20%
Yes
No
140-159
14%
Yes
No
240-259
6%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$278K vol
·
Sep 15
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2%
Yes 2¢
No 99¢
$8.2M vol
·
Sep 30
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
88%
Yes
No
Party A
50%
Yes
No
Party B
50%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$10.4M vol
·
Nov 3
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
September 30
1%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$66.8M vol
·
Jan 1, 2027
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson
80%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate B
50%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$5.1M vol
·
Sep 13
Politics
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 2027
56%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
36%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
18%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$11.0M vol
·
Mar 31, 2027
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
24%
Yes
No
Gavin Newsom
7%
Yes
No
Andy Beshear
1%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$704.0M vol
·
Nov 7, 2028
Politics
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
16%
Yes 16¢
No 85¢
$1.0M vol
·
Jan 1, 2027
Politics
wurld
